East Africa Risk Overview
As of 20 May 2025
Map coverage: all 18 countries across East, Central and North Africa now use real geographic outlines. South Sudan, Ethiopia, Somalia, Kenya, Uganda, DRC (East), Rwanda, Tanzania, Cameroon, Chad, Libya, Algeria and Djibouti are sourced from a public per-country GIS/SVG dataset. Burundi, Central African Republic, Republic of Congo, Gabon, Equatorial Guinea, Egypt, Tunisia and Morocco are sourced from an Africa-wide GADM-derived KML boundary dataset, simplified from full survey resolution (tens of thousands of points per country) down to ~90 points per country for legibility at this map's scale — so shapes are real but simplified, not full survey precision.
Reference standard: boundaries and names on this map are intended to approximate UN Geospatial Map No. 4045 Rev.8.1, "Africa" (United Nations, July 2018) — the authoritative reference for administrative boundaries used here. The boundaries and names shown do not imply official endorsement or acceptance by the United Nations.
Simple shows risk plus Ports & Border Crossings only. Advanced shows every layer — toggle any individually below either way.
Somalia · 3h ago
Kenya · 5h ago
Ethiopia · 1h ago
Read like a barometer: rating, direction, and a live source to verify
Pulled directly from Africanews' real, official RSS feed (africanews.com/feed/rss) via a client-side RSS-to-JSON bridge, since browsers block direct cross-site feed reads — auto-refreshes every 10 minutes. If the bridge service is unreachable, a direct link to the live feed is shown instead.
Shows whatever BBC News Africa is broadcasting live on YouTube right now. BBC Africa does not guarantee continuous 24/7 live coverage the way some cable news channels do — if nothing is currently live, the player below will show unavailable rather than a stand-in video.
A weighted composite across 9 factors (Political Stability, Trade Efficiency, Infrastructure, Airport Performance, Border Efficiency, Security, Economic Health, Investment Activity, Climate) — ranked across all 18 scored countries. Each country's score runs 0 (very poor) to 10 (excellent). Green dot = at least partly real data for that country's composite; grey = fully illustrative. Click any country for its full factor-by-factor breakdown, including each factor's separate 0–10 importance weight.
Real, sourced regional investment activity across 5 key sectors — figures are East Africa/continent-wide (not always broken out per country in the source), so read these as sector context rather than a single country's exact number. Every box links to its real primary source.
Links prioritize free, public institutional databases (World Bank, AfDB, IFAD, IRENA) over paywalled news sites — the same World Bank PPI Database link appears wherever it's the most relevant primary source for that sector's PPP activity.
- Mission 300: World Bank ($30B) + AfDB ($18B) pledged to electrify 300M Africans by 2030
- Kenya: 630MW geothermal (Olkaria), >40% of national electricity, expanding toward 1,000MW+
- Ethiopia: $110M AfDB-approved Aysha wind farm, 300MW
- Tanzania Central Corridor SGR: $1.2B AfDB-led financing syndication
- Continent needs $130–170B/yr; only ~$80B/yr currently financed (AfDB/AUDA-NEPAD)
- Kenya (energy, housing) and Tanzania (rail, roads) both actively seeking AfDB financing
- AfDB's $1.5B African Emergency Food Production Facility supported ~30 countries' cereal output
- Tanzania benefiting from strong agricultural export prices alongside gold and tourism (World Bank, 2025)
- Tanzania: World Bank-financed clean water program reached 11,628 villages
- US MCC: $700M+ in prior Tanzania investments spanning governance, transport, energy and water
- DRC copper: 3.4M tonnes shipped in 2025 (up from 3.1M in 2024), price hit a record $14,500+/tonne, Jan 2026
- DRC mining sector grew 12.8% in 2024, driving 6.5% overall GDP growth
- DRC cobalt shipments fell ~80% to 44,500 tonnes after export quotas — a real, current supply shock
A real, live vector topographic map — actual elevation/terrain shading, real rivers and roads — embedded directly from OpenTopoMap, centered on the East/Central Africa region this dashboard covers. Pan and zoom freely inside the frame; if your network blocks the embed, use the direct link below.
Open in full screen on OpenTopoMap →Real, sourced FDI and development-finance data for Kenya, Ethiopia, Tanzania and Uganda (of ~11 countries on this dashboard) — see each country's full Investment Intelligence section on its Country Intelligence page for the complete breakdown, including "Top 20 Active Investors" and "Delayed/Suspended Projects," both flagged there as genuine data gaps rather than filled with invented figures.
Kenya
Country risk profileHover a dimension for what it measures
REAL DATA All 7 risk dimensions now have at least partial real, sourced data — Security and Economic are fully real for all 18 countries (Fragile States Index; IMF/AfDB/national statistics GDP & inflation data). Political is real for 10 of 18 (World Bank Worldwide Governance Indicators), Operational for 3 of 18 (World Bank Logistics Performance Index), and Climate, ESG & Governance and Regulatory & Compliance are each real for 8–10 of 18 (Notre Dame's ND-GAIN Country Index, including its underlying WGI- and B-READY-derived sub-scores). Coverage gaps exist where a consolidated public source wasn't found for a given country — those countries keep the old illustrative offset for that dimension rather than an invented figure.
Each of the 9 factors gets two separate 0–10 numbers, and they mean different things — don't read them the same way. The score (right-hand number) measures how well a country is actually doing on that factor: 0 = very poor, 10 = excellent. The weight (shown as "X/10" next to each name) measures how much that factor counts toward the final composite: 0 = least influential, 10 = most influential — it says nothing about performance. Scores come from min-max normalizing one real raw number each — five factors (Political Stability, Security, Climate, Infrastructure, Trade Efficiency) use the actual published scale of a named external index (e.g. Political Stability uses the World Bank's own -2.5-to-+2.5 WGI range); the other four (Economic Health, Airport Performance, Border Efficiency, Investment Activity) are normalized against a disclosed, realistic range since no single external index exists for them. The composite is a standard weighted average — each factor's score × its weight, summed, divided by the total weight (74) — the same arithmetic as a weighted exam grade.
Click a focus area to expand additional detail
Sourced from Indicators DB, News, Government & World Bank feeds · hover a row for detail
| Indicator | Current | Prior Quarter | Trend |
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Model-projected risk trajectory based on current indicators and event trends
Click a segment for more detail
| Project | Country | Risk Score | Trend |
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Industries ranked by illustrative total committed financing; donors ranked by amount within each — not sourced from live investor records
Real, sourced figures from each country's World Bank programme page and OECD/DAC official development assistance data, not illustrative
Live links to ODA figures and donor project data for each monitored country, sourced directly from the World Bank, OECD and IATI. These link straight through to each organisation's own live data — this dashboard does not store or recompute those numbers; click through for the current published figures.
Real, sourced investment data for Kenya and Somalia — Kenya's stock market return plus World Bank Group (IBRD/IDA/IFC) portfolio data for both countries, plus IMF country pages for macro context. Kenya's stock index return is a full-year 2025 figure from the exchange itself. Somalia has no public equity market, so its World Bank Group portfolio size is the most meaningful real investment signal available. Institutional investment figures are pulled directly from worldbank.org (IBRD/IDA commitments) — not third-party news reporting. Each card also links to that country's IMF page for broader macroeconomic and investment-climate context.
Freshness check (23 Jul 2026): Kenya was re-verified directly against its live World Bank Group page on this date and enriched with the latest available IFC sub-figures; Kenya's headline portfolio total does not yet reflect an additional $750M Development Policy Operation the Bank approved on 30 Jun 2026, which is noted separately on that card. Somalia's figures were sourced earlier and have not been re-checked against a live page since.